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Today's Trading Tip
Near vs. Far
You may have already noticed this, but if not, factor it into your
thinking. In some markets, the
near expiration month
is usually higher priced than the distant months. They
are:
Bean Oil, Feeder Cattle,
Cocoa,
Live Cattle, Canadian $, Crude, Soybeans, Bean Meal, Unleaded, DJIAI.
In
the following markets, the
near expiration month
is usually lower priced than the distant months:
Cotton, Coffee, Sugar, Lean Hogs, Silver, Gold, Corn
When trading futures or options, you ought to keep this kind of
information in mind. If you can find a market where the price is “out of
line” you may want to consider taking advantage of it.
“If you obey all the rules, you miss all the fun.”
Katharine Hepburn in
Reader’s Digest (My favorite magazine).
DISCLOSURE OF RISK:
THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING
FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK
FUNDS SHOULD BE USED. FUTURES AND OPTIONS MAY NOT BE SUITABLE
INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY
CONSIDER THEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION
TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT
IN A FUTURES POSITION.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS
HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO
REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL,OR IS LIKELY TO,
ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.IN FACT,THERE ARE
FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS
AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING
PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED
WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES
NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN
COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING.
FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A
PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL
POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE
NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE
IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY
ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND
ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.
